Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.045338 0.049424 0.053574 0.058098 0.062883 0.067787 0.073186
2024-12-22 0.040018 0.046098 0.052505 0.059732 0.067629 0.075971 0.085421
2024-12-29 0.035369 0.042858 0.051016 0.060497 0.071151 0.082691 0.096074
2025-01-05 0.031602 0.040139 0.049722 0.061163 0.074335 0.088913 0.106155
2025-01-12 0.027843 0.037029 0.047647 0.060648 0.075954 0.093228 0.114018
2025-01-19 0.025454 0.035283 0.046944 0.061537 0.079051 0.099142 0.123676
2025-01-26 0.022735 0.032879 0.045234 0.061036 0.080356 0.102870 0.130742
2025-02-02 0.020763 0.031232 0.044293 0.061328 0.082502 0.107517 0.138852
2025-02-09 0.019422 0.030275 0.044112 0.062472 0.085621 0.113294 0.148308
2025-02-16 0.018814 0.030227 0.045044 0.064985 0.090424 0.121124 0.160283
2025-02-23 0.016423 0.027567 0.042412 0.062797 0.089228 0.121545 0.163221
2025-03-02 0.014857 0.025935 0.041035 0.062136 0.089878 0.124176 0.168816
2025-03-09 0.013477 0.024501 0.039885 0.061761 0.090923 0.127370 0.175235
2025-03-16 0.013057 0.024458 0.040641 0.063948 0.095322 0.134835 0.187053
2025-03-23 0.012316 0.023871 0.040593 0.065014 0.098246 0.140452 0.196612
2025-03-30 0.011572 0.023219 0.040406 0.065859 0.100865 0.145688 0.205726
2025-04-06 0.010523 0.022000 0.039323 0.065393 0.101686 0.148587 0.211876
2025-04-13 0.009949 0.021509 0.039283 0.066374 0.104450 0.154013 0.221280
2025-04-20 0.009048 0.020395 0.038241 0.065868 0.105146 0.156714 0.227182
2025-04-27 0.008419 0.019699 0.037795 0.066189 0.106956 0.160874 0.234982
2025-05-04 0.008043 0.019417 0.037969 0.067402 0.110002 0.166679 0.244943
2025-05-11 0.008004 0.019742 0.039105 0.070056 0.115093 0.175249 0.258575
2025-05-18 0.006938 0.018075 0.036976 0.067751 0.113129 0.174328 0.259737